Infection is far more widespread (and far less lethal) than captured by PCR tests (15 to 58 times more so)
The full findings of Slovenia’s official covid antibodies study will be released later today (after which we’ll update this article), but for now the country’s Health Minister has already revealed key information:
“With 95-percent confidence we can say that antibodies are present in between two and four percent.”
Slovenia is a country of 2.08 million people and has recorded 97 covid-positive deaths.
If between 2 and 4 percent of 2.08 million were infected that means between 42 and 84 thousand infected, means an infection fatality rate of between 0.23% and 0.12%.
The most likely implied infection fatality rate is 97 deaths divided by 63 thousand infected (3 percent of the total) which is 0.15%.
Every single antibodies studies so far has implied the same thing:
- The true number of infected is far, far higher than those captured by PCR tests.
- The infection fatality rate is somewhere between 0.5 and 0.1 percent.
How may more studies do we need before we understand that the fatality rate for Covid-19 is about the same as the seasonal influenza? These are the studies that prove this:
- the Gangelt study (Germany),
- the Stanford University study in Santa Clara (USA),
- the LA County study (USA),
- the Lancet Infectious Disease study (UK),
- the University of Miami study for the Miami-Dade county (USA),
- the New York state testing (USA),
- The Mail said a similar fatality rate — 0.19% — was found in a study of residents in Helsinki (Finland),
- and now the Antibodies Study in Slovenia … they all say the same thing.
And there hasn’t been a single antibodies study to contradict them.
So what exactly is the retort of the lockdown enthusiasts?
We would have never locked down had it been clear from the start that actual fatality rates are this low — no worse than for the flu — so what possible justification could there be for maintaining it?
In fact, they don’t have a retort, their chosen strategy has been to squarely ignore the new knowledge about the disease.
Slovenia has a very high testing rate per capita nearly comparable to that in Germany, Switzerland and Austria and well above those in the US, UK and France, but still identified fewer than 1,500 of its 42,000 to 84,000 actual cases — that’s 15 to 58 times fewer than actual.